Sunday, March 15, 2009

The Weekly Trade 3/16

Going into options expiration week we have a bit of momentum to the upside off of last weeks strong rally. I think we could continue higher this week as the next big resistance out there doesn't seem to be until 800-805. It would be nice to see the market stay over the 20 day ema this week and not retrace much of last week's gains. With the 20 ema flattening out and the 50 ema just under that 800 mark we could see some consolidation this week before the next move.

The indicators are not yet overbought and still look positive imo. I think the next test for this market will be at that 800 level and if we get over that 50 ema and start to see that 20 ema curl up then we could be looking quite bullish. We will see what happens but I think starting the week off with a bullish bias is appropriate.

Monday- Empire Manufacturing, Net Long Term TIC flows, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production

Tuesday- Building Permits, Housing Starts, PPI

Wednesday- CPI, Current Acct. Balance, FOMC rate decision

Thursday- Jobless Claims, Leading Indicators, Philly Fed

As for Monday, like I said, I want to be a buyer of pullbacks as long as the 20ema on the 15min is uptrending and we are trading above the daily pivot. That pivot is at 749.25 and should dictate the trend of the day from the get go. Trade safe.

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